Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
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48%
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YES if, no later than August 31, 2026, there is a public, verifiable confirmation that Héctor Fort’s registration has been transferred from FC Barcelona to Borussia Dortmund for the 2026–27 season. Acceptable confirmations are an official announcement by FC Barcelona or Borussia Dortmund saying the player is registered to play for Dortmund in 2026–27, or the player appearing on the official LaLiga or Bundesliga registration lists as registered to Borussia Dortmund. Agreements in principle or pre‑contracts that take effect after 2026–27 do not count. A loan counts only if Borussia Dortmund is the club of registration, and if clubs issue clearly conflicting official statements, league registration records take precedence.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against marca.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 48%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledI doubt it. With only ten days left and no announcement from either club, it seems unlikely that Fort will be registered in time for Dortmund next season.

94%
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44%
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95%
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38%
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78%
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55%
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