Will Great Sitkin return to "NORMAL" (back to normal)?

🤖 Context

YES if the USGS Volcano Hazards Program records Great Sitkin at alert level "NORMAL" (back to normal) at any time on or after August 20, 2026 and no later than 00:00 on August 23, 2026, according to the USGS. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 20, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 23, 2026. The outcome will be settled against usgs.gov. For now, the crowd puts YES at 84%, based on 25 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

84%

Predictions made

25

Credits staked

698

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 19, 2026

Closes

Aug 20, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 23, 2026

Resolution source

usgs.gov

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 20, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 23, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 84% and NO 16%, based on 25 predictions and 698 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against usgs.gov once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Great Sitkin return to "NORMAL" (back to normal)?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Great Sitkin return to "NORMAL" (back to normal)?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.