Will Great Sitkin drop back to "NORMAL" (back to normal)?

🤖 Context

YES if the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Volcano Hazards Program reports Great Sitkin's Volcano Alert Level as "NORMAL" at any time between 00:00 on August 12, 2026 and no later than 00:00 on August 15, 2026 UTC. Otherwise NO. The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Volcano Hazards Program is the authoritative source for this market.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 12, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 15, 2026. The outcome will be settled against usgs.gov. For now, the crowd puts YES at 59%, based on 33 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

59%

Predictions made

33

Credits staked

847

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 11, 2026

Closes

Aug 12, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 15, 2026

Resolution source

usgs.gov

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 12, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 15, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 59% and NO 41%, based on 33 predictions and 847 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against usgs.gov once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Great Sitkin drop back to "NORMAL" (back to normal)?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Great Sitkin drop back to "NORMAL" (back to normal)?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.