Will Great Sitkin be put on 'WARNING' (top alert, eruption imminent)?

🤖 Context

YES if the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Volcano Hazards Program publicly posts Great Sitkin's Volcano Alert Level as WARNING (top alert, eruption imminent) at any time strictly after 00:00 UTC on August 29, 2026 and strictly before 00:00 UTC on September 1, 2026. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 29, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against usgs.gov. For now, the crowd puts YES at 28%, based on 42 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

28%

Predictions made

42

Credits staked

1,017

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 28, 2026

Closes

Aug 29, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 1, 2026

Resolution source

usgs.gov

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 29, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 1, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 28% and NO 72%, based on 42 predictions and 1K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against usgs.gov once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Great Sitkin be put on 'WARNING' (top alert, eruption imminent)?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Great Sitkin be put on 'WARNING' (top alert, eruption imminent)?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.