Will a feature that converts physical Xbox games into digital entitlements get a launch date?

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95%
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YES if, no later than September 30, 2026, Rockstar Games publishes an official statement that explicitly says Grand Theft Auto VI has exactly two playable protagonists and names them 'Jason' and 'Lucía' (the spelling 'Lucia' without the accent counts). The statement must be a Rockstar Newswire post, an official Rockstar press release, or an official Rockstar developer statement. If Rockstar confirms these names but also confirms a third or additional playable protagonist, or if the information comes only from unofficial leaks, the market resolves NO. Corroboration from major game news outlets that directly cite Rockstar is acceptable.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against xataka.com.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 95%, based on 225 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledRockstar’s not likely to stick to just two protagonists, and with only 29 days left, a clear statement is unlikely. I doubt we’ll see Jason and Lucía confirmed as the only playable characters.

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47%
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80%
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96%
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79%
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