Will Google have over 21% market share?

🤖 Context

YES if Kalshi's market ticker KXGOOGSHARE-26SEP07-21 is shown on Kalshi as finalized with an official outcome of YES. That Kalshi outcome corresponds to Google scoring above 21% on OpenRouter's text market-share ranking by model author for the week of August 31, 2026, using OpenRouter's Monday 10:00 AM ET update. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 7, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 7, 2026. The outcome will be settled against kalshi.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 86%, based on 80 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

86%

Predictions made

80

Credits staked

2,527

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 2, 2026

Closes

Sep 7, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 7, 2026

Resolution source

kalshi.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 7, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 7, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 86% and NO 14%, based on 80 predictions and 2.5K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against kalshi.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Google have over 21% market share?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Google have over 21% market share?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.