Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
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35%
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YES if the official result for the women's singles final of the 2026 National Bank Open (Toronto) records Elena Rybakina as the match winner over Iga Swiatek on Aug 13, 2026, according to the tournament's official results page or the WTA match-results page, or as confirmed by reputable news reports (AP, ESPN, Reuters). A retirement, default, or retirement after play that awards Rybakina the win counts as YES. If the final is not played or no winner is declared, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 13, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 14, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.co.uk. For now, the crowd puts YES at 35%, based on 63 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledRybakina has the edge over Swiatek, especially given her recent form. I expect her to take this match, barring any surprises.

94%
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50%
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39%
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42%
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90%
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33%
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