Will Claude go down 8–10 times in August?

🤖 Context

YES if Claude’s official status uptime page shows the claude.ai daily status box is any color other than green on between 8 and 10 distinct calendar days, from August 1, 2026 through August 31, 2026 inclusive, once each day's box is finalized. Otherwise NO. The official source is Claude’s status uptime page, with independent reports that reproduce the final count also acceptable.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 48%, based on 19 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

48%

Predictions made

19

Credits staked

449

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 24, 2026

Closes

Aug 31, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 2, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 31, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 2, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 48% and NO 52%, based on 19 predictions and 449 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Claude go down 8–10 times in August?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Claude go down 8–10 times in August?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.