Will Claude be down on exactly 5–7 days in August 2026?

🤖 Context

YES if the claude.ai component shows downtime on exactly 5, 6, or 7 distinct calendar days during August 2026 on the Claude historical uptime page for the claude.ai component, otherwise NO. A calendar day counts as a downtime day if that day's box for the claude.ai component is any color other than green once the day is finalized. Multiple outages on the same calendar day count as a single downtime day, and only the claude.ai component is considered. The count is inclusive, with a cutoff no later than August 31, 2026.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 30%, based on 42 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

30%

Predictions made

42

Credits staked

1,714

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 28, 2026

Closes

Sep 1, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 2, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 1, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 2, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 30% and NO 70%, based on 42 predictions and 1.7K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Claude be down on exactly 5–7 days in August 2026?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Claude be down on exactly 5–7 days in August 2026?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.