Will Charens be ordered to evacuate because of the massif du Claps wildfire?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than 18:00 on August 11, 2026, the Préfecture de la Drôme, the commune of Charens, or the Drôme departmental fire service issues an explicit administrative evacuation order that compels residents of the village of Charens to leave because of the massif du Claps wildfire. The order must use language equivalent to "ordre d'évacuation" or "évacuation administrative" and explicitly cite the massif du Claps. Notices that only call for sheltering in place, voluntary evacuation advice, or "follow safety instructions" do not count.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 11, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 11, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tf1info.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 13%, based on 104 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

13%

Predictions made

104

Credits staked

2,850

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 10, 2026

Closes

Aug 11, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 11, 2026

Resolution source

tf1info.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 11, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 11, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 13% and NO 87%, based on 104 predictions and 2.9K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tf1info.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Charens be ordered to evacuate because of the massif du Claps wildfire?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Charens be ordered to evacuate because of the massif du Claps wildfire?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.