Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
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78%
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YES if Casper Ruud is listed in the official US Open men's singles main draw and is recorded as having started at least one main-draw men's singles match at that US Open (an official match score lists him as a participant). Otherwise NO. Resolution will use the official US Open draw and match-results pages and ATP Tour match records, corroborated by independent news outlets.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 31, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lequipe.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 78%, based on 18 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledRuud's recent performances suggest he'll make the main draw, but a lot can happen before the tournament starts. If he enters, expect him to play at least one match.

94%
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51%
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90%
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75%
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46%
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35%
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