Will Tadej Pogačar win the Vuelta a España overall?

20%
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92%
Stable · last 24h
YES if the Kalshi market page for ticker KXATPMATCH-26SEP02NAKMIC-NAK shows the ticker status exactly "finalized" and the market's final settlement is YES, which corresponds to Brandon Nakashima being officially recorded as the winner of the Nakashima vs Michelsen match in the 2026 US Open Men's Singles Round of 64 after at least one ball has been played. NO otherwise. The Kalshi market page is the deciding source, preferably corroborated by official US Open results, the ATP, ESPN or Fox Sports, and if Kalshi finalizes to a cancellation or fair-price because the match did not start, that does not count as YES.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 2, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against kalshi.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 92%, based on 121 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledNakashima is likely to win; his recent form suggests he’ll handle Michelsen without much trouble. Expect him to advance after a ball is played today.

20%
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16%
Stable · last 24h

83%
Stable · last 24h

43%
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46%
Stable · last 24h

81%
Stable · last 24h
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