Will the #1 show on Netflix have at least 15 million views?

53%
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73%
Stable · last 24h
YES if "Beef" wins zero or one Emmy awards at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, counting only awards presented during the live Primetime ceremony on September 14, 2026. Otherwise NO. Only count awards presented during that live Primetime ceremony, not awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026), and count each award once even if it has multiple recipients. The result will be determined using the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences' official winners listing (Emmys.com) or the Emmys' official press release, with major wire services and trade outlets used for corroboration; if the live Primetime ceremony is definitively cancelled or winners are not finally declared, apply the mirrored Polymarket resolution rule as quoted on the mirrored market.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 14, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 73%, based on 3 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the buzz around 'Beef', it’s likely to secure at least one win. The competition this year isn't as stiff, so I’d say a nod is more than probable.

53%
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72%
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92%
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94%
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