Will Israel and Hamas publicly agree to a ceasefire with a stated start time?

10%
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74%
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YES if the official Mi Derecho, Mi Lugar website or the published Gaceta Electrónica de Resultados publicly lists at least one UNAM preparatoria with a non‑zero "cupo disponible" or an explicit count of available places for the ECOEMS extemporaneous assignment, no later than August 26, 2026. Public listings in major national news outlets are acceptable for verification, but preference is the portal or the Gaceta. If availability appears only behind an individual login and is not publicly listed in the portal or the Gaceta, that counts as NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 25, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 27, 2026. The outcome will be settled against politica.expansion.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 74%, based on 1 prediction.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith only a few days left, the official listing is crucial. Given that it’s just before the deadline, I doubt there'll be any available places identified publicly for the UNAM schools.

10%
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64%
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52%
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25%
-3% last 24h

24%
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30%
-7% last 24h
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