Will Missouri use the Republican-backed congressional map for ballots in the November general election?

42%
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92%
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YES if at least one public demonstration, rally, strike, or other visible public collective action occurs in any French municipality on October 17, 2026 (local date) and at least one reputable news outlet publishes a report on or after that date explicitly identifying the action as part of the nationwide fuel‑price mobilisation referenced in the Franceinfo article. Reputable outlets include AFP, Franceinfo, Le Monde, Le Figaro, Libération, or a named regional daily. Planned actions publicly cancelled before October 17, or events reported only via unverified social‑media posts without corroboration in recognised news outlets, do not count, otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 16, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 18, 2026. The outcome will be settled against franceinfo.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 92%, based on 66 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the ongoing discontent about fuel prices, I expect protests or strikes on October 17. Media coverage will likely follow, especially since this is a pressing issue.

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65%
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35%
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56%
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48%
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57%
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