Will at least one of the 10 France‑2030 Earth‑observation satellites launch in 2026?

🤖 Context

YES if at least one of the 10 satellites ordered by CNES under the France 2030 programme is launched before 2027 (i.e. any time during 2026); NO if none launch during 2026.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Jan 15, 2027, and the market is expected to resolve on Jan 16, 2027. The outcome will be settled against gifas.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 44%, based on 6 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

44%

Predictions made

6

Credits staked

198

Comments

2

Opened

May 25, 2026

Closes

Jan 15, 2027

Expected resolution

Jan 16, 2027

Resolution source

gifas.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Jan 15, 2027, and it's expected to resolve on Jan 16, 2027.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 44% and NO 56%, based on 6 predictions and 198 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against gifas.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will at least one of the 10 France‑2030 Earth‑observation satellites launch in 2026?” real-money betting?

No. “Will at least one of the 10 France‑2030 Earth‑observation satellites launch in 2026?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.