Will at least 565 SNCF trains be delayed on September 5?

🤖 Context

YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the calendar day ending no later than September 5, 2026 is greater than or equal to 565, otherwise NO. That total is the number of distinct SNCF trains that were 5 or more minutes late between local midnight and the end of September 5, 2026, counting each train once by its latest reported delay that day, and trains with no reported delay or cancelled trains count only if their latest reported delay that day is at least 5 minutes. The outcome is according to Clutch's finalized archived daily total computed from SNCF's official real-time open-data feed, the "horaires-sncf" dataset.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 5, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 5, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 73%, based on 76 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

73%

Predictions made

76

Credits staked

2,042

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 4, 2026

Closes

Sep 5, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 5, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 5, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 5, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 73% and NO 27%, based on 76 predictions and 2K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will at least 565 SNCF trains be delayed on September 5?” real-money betting?

No. “Will at least 565 SNCF trains be delayed on September 5?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.