Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if Aryna Sabalenka is listed as the women's singles champion of the 2026 WTA Toronto main draw on the WTA Tour official results page or on the tournament's official 2026 results page. Otherwise NO. The WTA Tour official results or the tournament's official results are the primary resolution sources, and major sports outlets are acceptable as secondary confirmation.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 8, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 11, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lequipe.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 54%, based on 32 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledSabalenka's been in top form, and with a title win likely, I’d bet on her. Just needs to finish strong over the next few days.

93%
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29%
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64%
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51%
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78%
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53%
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