Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
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72%
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YES if the official singles draw or results posted by the ATP and/or the Western & Southern Open list Arthur Fils as one of the eight quarterfinalists in the men's singles. Advancement by walkover or opponent retirement that places Fils into the quarterfinals counts as YES. If the tournament is abandoned before the quarterfinals and those official sources do not record quarterfinalists, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 20, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 21, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lequipe.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 72%, based on 73 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledI doubt Fils makes the quarters here. He's up against tough opposition and with the deadline looming, the chances for an upset are slim. Not looking good for him.

94%
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43%
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81%
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64%
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36%
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81%
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