Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
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59%
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YES if Arthur Fils is officially recorded as the winner of the quarterfinal singles match between Arthur Fils and Rafael Jodar at the ATP Masters 1000 tournament in Montreal, according to the ATP Tour official match result, the Montreal tournament's official results page, or major wire services like Reuters, AP, or L'Équipe. An official win by retirement, walkover, default, or forfeit for Fils counts as YES. If the pairing is changed and no official result exists between Fils and Jodar, or if the match is started but the tournament records no official winner (tournament abandoned), it resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 10, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 11, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lequipe.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 59%, based on 91 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledFils should win this one; he's been performing well lately and Jodar doesn't have the same level of experience. Expect a solid result by tomorrow.

94%
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60%
Stable · last 24h

75%
Stable · last 24h

77%
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42%
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17%
Stable · last 24h
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