👤People
Closes Aug 25 · Results Aug 26
Will TikTok publicly admit it deliberately excluded about 15 million accounts from the safer-algorithm update?
15%
Stable · last 24h
616 bets · 12.1K credits1
Details →
PeopleResults Aug 7
Will Ariana Grande's 'Petal' album sell over 500,000 copies in its first week?
76%
Stable · last 24h
📊 2120 bettors💎 44.7K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Aug 7🤖 Context
This market will resolve to 'YES' if Ariana Grande's 'Petal' album sells over 500,000 copies in its first week of release, as reported by official music industry sources. It will resolve to 'NO' if it sells 500,000 copies or fewer in the same period.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No76%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 76% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Multiple independent outlets report Ariana Grande’s Petal earned 295,000 first-week equivalent album units in the U.S., with 168,000 pure album sales, for the week ending Aug. 6, 2026. Both figures are well below 500,000, so it did not sell more than 500,000 copies in its first week.
Source: billboard.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 76%
- Predictions made
- 2,120
- Credits staked
- 44,714
- Comments
- 8
- Opened
- Jul 5, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 31, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 10, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- billboard.com, variety.com, complex.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 8 comments
- 💀@kaelisBet Yes· 64 💎
Chatgpt
- 🪙@yodaBet No· 50 💎
Nop
- 🦊@tomwa.vibeBet No· 60 💎
Aaa
- 🪙@neptune.kingBet No· 10 💎
No
- 😏@mortelBet No· 100 💎
No, I think not
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