Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

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YES if, on the first Nasdaq stock screener reading observed at or after 15:00 UTC on Monday, August 31, 2026, Apple Inc.'s company-level market capitalization is strictly greater than NVIDIA Corporation's company-level market capitalization according to the Nasdaq stock screener. Otherwise NO. If the screener shows identical figures for both companies, or if either company is missing or its market-cap field is absent, the market resolves NO, and frozen values from the last close count if US markets are closed.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 31, 2026. The outcome will be settled against nasdaq.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 30%, based on 34 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledNot happening. Apple is currently about $520 billion behind NVIDIA, and with only six days left, it’s unlikely to close that gap significantly before the resolution date.

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