Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

91%
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42%
-4% last 24h
YES if Apple’s product pages, Apple Newsroom, or widely published independent outlets report that at least one U.S.-bound customer order for a Mac Studio from the new M5 Max/M5 Ultra lineup was shipped or marked delivered with a delivery date of September 22, 2026 (Pacific Time), or if Apple’s product page or Apple Newsroom explicitly lists September 22, 2026 as the initial arrival/delivery date for US Mac Studio orders. Preferred source is Apple Inc. (apple.com product pages or Apple Newsroom), but major independent reporting (for example Bloomberg, Reuters, The Verge, TechCrunch) is acceptable. If Apple issues an official statement before any shipment canceling or rescheduling the September 22 US deliveries, or if only a pre-order listing appears on September 22 with no shipments or delivery dates for that day, resolve NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 22, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 23, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5mac.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 42%, based on 32 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven Apple's track record, I expect at least some Mac Studios to ship by September 22. Major outlets will likely report it, making this delivery date plausible.

91%
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95%
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44%
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41%
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45%
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76%
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