Will ChatGPT be the #1 free app in the US App Store on September 11?

78%
+23% last 24h

83%
Stable · last 24h
YES if Apple, during its keynote for the publicly advertised "Surprise and Shine" iPhone launch event held on September 9, 2026, publicly announces at least one new iPhone model whose official Apple-stated specifications or presenter language explicitly describe the device as having a folding display using words like "fold", "foldable", or "folding display" in Apple’s event livestream, an Apple Newsroom press release, or an Apple product page. Otherwise NO. If Apple cancels the event and makes no such official announcement during the event, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026. The outcome will be settled against techcrunch.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 83%, based on 87 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledApple's keynote is just hours away, and the buzz around a foldable iPhone is strong. Given the competitive market, I expect a foldable announcement today.

78%
+23% last 24h

64%
Stable · last 24h

87%
Stable · last 24h

76%
Stable · last 24h

83%
Stable · last 24h

22%
-26% last 24h
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