Will the U.S. and Iran publicly say they've concluded a bilateral agreement on managing the Strait of Hormuz?

15%
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41%
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YES if, no later than August 22, 2026, any town in Côte‑d'Or is covered by a prefectural arrêté that explicitly prohibits non‑priority water uses (for example garden watering or car washing). This counts if the Côte‑d'Or prefecture has published such an arrêté, if the Propluvia portal shows any part of Côte‑d'Or at a restriction level whose official text prohibits those uses, or if two or more independent authoritative news outlets report the prefecture issued such an arrêté. Otherwise NO. If an arrêté was issued and later revoked, it still counts as YES if it was issued on or before August 22, 2026.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 22, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 23, 2026. The outcome will be settled against franceinfo.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 41%, based on 21 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the date and the guidelines, it's likely we'll see an arrêté on water restrictions soon. The situation in Côte-d'Or is serious enough to warrant it, so I'm betting yes.

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68%
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77%
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32%
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27%
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66%
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