Will any place in Oaxaca have 'lluvias puntuales intensas' (75–150 mm in 24 h) on August 12?

🤖 Context

YES if the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (CONAGUA) post‑event bulletin, or an official bulletin from Oaxaca state Protección Civil or the Oaxaca state government, states that at least one location inside Oaxaca's administrative boundaries experienced “lluvias puntuales intensas” (75–150 mm of rain in 24 hours) during the local calendar day August 12, 2026 (00:00 to 23:59:59 local time). Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 12, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 13, 2026. The outcome will be settled against smn.conagua.gob.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 41%, based on 4 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

41%

Predictions made

4

Credits staked

55

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 10, 2026

Closes

Aug 12, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 13, 2026

Resolution source

smn.conagua.gob.mx

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 12, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 13, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 41% and NO 59%, based on 4 predictions and 55 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against smn.conagua.gob.mx once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any place in Oaxaca have 'lluvias puntuales intensas' (75–150 mm in 24 h) on August 12?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any place in Oaxaca have 'lluvias puntuales intensas' (75–150 mm in 24 h) on August 12?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.