Will any part of Hawaii be ordered to evacuate because of Tropical Storm Moke?

🤖 Context

YES if a county government, county civil defense office, the Hawaii State Civil Defense, or the Governor's office posts an official mandatory evacuation order or directive for any named community or area in the Hawaiian Islands that explicitly cites Tropical Storm Moke (or the system identified as Moke) as the reason. Evidence can be that government's official website or press release, or reporting from at least two major U.S. news organizations. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 24, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 26, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 49%, based on 2 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

49%

Predictions made

2

Credits staked

35

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 23, 2026

Closes

Aug 24, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 26, 2026

Resolution source

foxweather.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 24, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 26, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 49% and NO 51%, based on 2 predictions and 35 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against foxweather.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any part of Hawaii be ordered to evacuate because of Tropical Storm Moke?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any part of Hawaii be ordered to evacuate because of Tropical Storm Moke?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.