Will any official weather station in Metropolitan France record at least 50.0 mm of precipitation on August 15?

🤖 Context

YES if any official meteorological station (SYNOP, METAR, or equivalent) in Metropolitan France reports a 24-hour precipitation total of at least 50.0 mm for 00:00:00–23:59:59 on 15 August 2026 (CEST, UTC+02:00). Otherwise NO. Accepted evidence includes Météo‑France station or daily reports, airport METARs, Ogimet or other official station logs, or contemporaneous national media articles that explicitly cite station totals; radar-only estimates without an identified station observation and unverified social media claims are not accepted, a reported total of exactly 50.0 mm counts as YES, and corrections published after the resolution date do not change the settled outcome.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 14, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tf1info.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 50%, based on 79 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

50%

Predictions made

79

Credits staked

2,411

Comments

0

Opened

Aug 13, 2026

Closes

Aug 14, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 16, 2026

Resolution source

tf1info.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 14, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 16, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 50% and NO 50%, based on 79 predictions and 2.4K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tf1info.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any official weather station in Metropolitan France record at least 50.0 mm of precipitation on August 15?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any official weather station in Metropolitan France record at least 50.0 mm of precipitation on August 15?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.