Will any official weather station in Metropolitan France record an instantaneous wind gust of at least 100 km/h on August 15?

🤖 Context

YES if at least one official meteorological observation (SYNOP, METAR, or equivalent automatic station report) for a station physically located in Metropolitan France shows an observed instantaneous wind gust of at least 100.0 km/h at any time between 00:00 and 23:59:59 CEST on August 15, 2026, inclusive. Otherwise NO. Preferred sources are Météo‑France SYNOP/observational logs, METAR, or official station archives, but publicly posted official station logs or national media that explicitly cite those station observations are also acceptable, and corrections published after the resolution date do not retroactively change the settled outcome.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 14, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tf1info.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 45%, based on 36 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

45%

Predictions made

36

Credits staked

1,292

Comments

0

Opened

Aug 13, 2026

Closes

Aug 14, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 16, 2026

Resolution source

tf1info.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 14, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 16, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 45% and NO 55%, based on 36 predictions and 1.3K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tf1info.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any official weather station in Metropolitan France record an instantaneous wind gust of at least 100 km/h on August 15?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any official weather station in Metropolitan France record an instantaneous wind gust of at least 100 km/h on August 15?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.