Will any named state or non-state actor publicly claim responsibility for the Aug. 14 attacks on the two UAE tankers in the Strait of Hormuz?

🤖 Context

YES if no later than August 31, 2026, at least two independent major news organizations publish credible reporting that a named state or named non-state actor publicly claimed responsibility for the Aug. 14 attacks on the two UAE tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, or if a named state ministry, official spokesperson, or an identified armed group spokesman issues a public statement taking responsibility. Otherwise NO. Reporting from outlets such as AP or Reuters counts toward the two independent sources.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 16, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against apnews.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 20%, based on 43 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

20%

Predictions made

43

Credits staked

1,177

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 16, 2026

Closes

Aug 16, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 1, 2026

Resolution source

apnews.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 16, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 1, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 20% and NO 80%, based on 43 predictions and 1.2K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against apnews.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any named state or non-state actor publicly claim responsibility for the Aug. 14 attacks on the two UAE tankers in the Strait of Hormuz?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any named state or non-state actor publicly claim responsibility for the Aug. 14 attacks on the two UAE tankers in the Strait of Hormuz?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.