Will any metropolitan French département be on 'orange' (high alert) or 'red' (top alert) heatwave alert on September 4?

🤖 Context

YES if the official Météo‑France Vigilance archived product for September 4, 2026 shows at least one metropolitan French département, a coastal zone, or the national 'FRANCE' roll‑up at 'orange' (high alert) or 'red' (top alert) for the heatwave hazard at any time that day, otherwise NO. This resolves according to Météo‑France's Vigilance archive. Only metropolitan France counts; overseas departments and territories do not, and a département shown only at 'yellow' does not qualify.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 3, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 5, 2026. The outcome will be settled against vigilance.meteofrance.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 64%, based on 110 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

64%

Predictions made

110

Credits staked

3,219

Comments

0

Opened

Sep 3, 2026

Closes

Sep 3, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 5, 2026

Resolution source

vigilance.meteofrance.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 3, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 5, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 64% and NO 36%, based on 110 predictions and 3.2K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against vigilance.meteofrance.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any metropolitan French département be on 'orange' (high alert) or 'red' (top alert) heatwave alert on September 4?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any metropolitan French département be on 'orange' (high alert) or 'red' (top alert) heatwave alert on September 4?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.