Will any location in metropolitan France record at least 1.0 mm of precipitation?

🤖 Context

YES if any official meteorological observation or widely reported official dataset shows a liquid-equivalent precipitation measurement of at least 1.0 mm at any location in metropolitan France at any time between August 21, 2026 and August 23, 2026 inclusive, according to Météo‑France or another national meteorological service or a major French news agency. Reports that only state a 'trace' or give no numeric measurement of at least 1.0 mm do not count. Precipitation only in France's overseas territories is excluded.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 20, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 24, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tf1info.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 87%, based on 50 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

87%

Predictions made

50

Credits staked

1,538

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 17, 2026

Closes

Aug 20, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 24, 2026

Resolution source

tf1info.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 20, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 24, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 87% and NO 13%, based on 50 predictions and 1.5K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tf1info.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any location in metropolitan France record at least 1.0 mm of precipitation?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any location in metropolitan France record at least 1.0 mm of precipitation?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.