Will any area in Spain have an 'aviso naranja' (orange warning) or 'aviso rojo' (red warning) for thunderstorms on 26 August?

🤖 Context

YES if, according to AEMET's archived Meteoalerta warnings for 26 August 2026 (Agencia Estatal de Meteorología), at least one area in Spain was given an aviso naranja (orange) or aviso rojo (red) for thunderstorms at any time during 26 August 2026 (Spain local time). If an archived aviso lists multiple hazards it counts only if thunderstorms are explicitly named at naranja or rojo. A warning that reached naranja or rojo and was later downgraded on the same day still counts.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 25, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 27, 2026. The outcome will be settled against aemet.es. For now, the crowd puts YES at 71%, based on 6 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

71%

Predictions made

6

Credits staked

200

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 25, 2026

Closes

Aug 25, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 27, 2026

Resolution source

aemet.es

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 25, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 27, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 71% and NO 29%, based on 6 predictions and 200 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against aemet.es once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any area in Spain have an 'aviso naranja' (orange warning) or 'aviso rojo' (red warning) for thunderstorms on 26 August?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any area in Spain have an 'aviso naranja' (orange warning) or 'aviso rojo' (red warning) for thunderstorms on 26 August?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.