Will Anthropic have over 3.5% market share?

🤖 Context

YES if Kalshi's market KXANTHSHARE-26AUG17-3.5 is marked finalized with an official result of YES. Kalshi's settlement source for that market is OpenRouter's “AI Market Share” (by model author) for the week of August 17, 2026 using the Monday 10:00 AM ET update. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 24, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 24, 2026. The outcome will be settled against kalshi.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 80%, based on 54 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

80%

Predictions made

54

Credits staked

1,632

Comments

0

Opened

Aug 20, 2026

Closes

Aug 24, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 24, 2026

Resolution source

kalshi.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 24, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 24, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 80% and NO 20%, based on 54 predictions and 1.6K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against kalshi.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Anthropic have over 3.5% market share?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Anthropic have over 3.5% market share?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.