Will Ahyi Seamount return to 'NORMAL' (back to normal)?

🤖 Context

YES if the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Volcano Hazards Program records Ahyi Seamount's Volcano Alert Level as 'NORMAL' at any time strictly after 00:00 UTC on August 21, 2026 and no later than 00:00 UTC on August 24, 2026. Otherwise NO. Use the timestamp on the USGS notice to determine whether the change falls inside that window.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 21, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 24, 2026. The outcome will be settled against volcanoes.usgs.gov. For now, the crowd puts YES at 73%, based on 29 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

73%

Predictions made

29

Credits staked

892

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 20, 2026

Closes

Aug 21, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 24, 2026

Resolution source

volcanoes.usgs.gov

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 21, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 24, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 73% and NO 27%, based on 29 predictions and 892 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against volcanoes.usgs.gov once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Ahyi Seamount return to 'NORMAL' (back to normal)?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Ahyi Seamount return to 'NORMAL' (back to normal)?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.