Will Google's market share be above 19.6%?

63%
+8% last 24h

25%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Sep 30YES if no later than September 30, 2026 Apple publicly announces in official materials such as a keynote, press release, product page, or other Apple communications a new iPhone whose marketed model name includes the word "Ultra", and in that same announcement or product page Apple explicitly says the device has a foldable or folding display, using wording like "foldable", "folding display", or "foldable screen". Otherwise NO. Only Apple’s own announcements and product pages count; third‑party leaks or unofficial rumors do not.
How markets are built and settled25%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 75% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The iPhone 18 Pro models and the foldable iPhone Duo went on sale on September 18, 2026, no iPhone with the ULTRA designation.
Source: apple.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled
63%
+8% last 24h

82%
+1% last 24h

73%
Stable · last 24h

75%
Stable · last 24h

39%
Stable · last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h
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