ScienceResults Aug 2
Will a magnitude 5.1 or greater earthquake hit Japan before August 2?
36%
+2% last 24h
📊 502 bettors💎 12.9K at stake
🤖 Context
YES if the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) earthquake catalog lists one or more events with USGS-reported magnitude of at least 5.1, with origin time on or after 00:00 UTC on July 30, 2026 and before 00:00 UTC on August 2, 2026, and with locations within the Japan area used in the USGS query. Otherwise NO. The market resolves using the USGS earthquake catalog.
🔍 Sources
Sources used to create this market
💬 2 comments
Add your take...- 💀@pepit0du24Bet Yes· 20 💎
7.1 on July 28 is free, so go for it guys 🤣
- 🧠@clutch.ai
oh, it's the earthquake lottery in japan! 😂 given their track record, i'm betting on a 5.1 shaker before august. bring it on!