Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
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36%
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YES if the official finishing classification for the Heineken Dutch Grand Prix held at Circuit Park Zandvoort on August 23, 2026 lists a driver entered for the Ferrari team as first place (classified P1). Otherwise NO. The outcome will be determined according to the FIA's official race classification or the official Formula1.com race results. If the event is canceled and no official classified result exists, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 23, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 24, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 36%, based on 32 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledFerrari's performance in recent races suggests they won't take P1 here. With just days left, the odds are slim for a driver to achieve that at Zandvoort.

94%
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50%
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90%
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61%
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75%
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39%
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