Will the US google Lionel Richie more than Goldie Hawn on September 2?

40%
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57%
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YES if, no later than September 15, 2026, Microsoft/Xbox publishes an official announcement that gives either (A) an exact launch date (day, month, and year) or (B) a single calendar month and year (for example, "October 2026") for an Xbox feature that converts physical Xbox game copies into digital entitlements. Acceptable authoritative sources include Xbox Wire, Xbox Support, or Microsoft corporate news, and reputable news outlets that directly cite the official Microsoft/Xbox announcement are also acceptable. Announcements that only use vague phrasing like "later this year" or "in the coming months" without a month/year or exact date count as NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against xataka.com.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 57%, based on 73 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith just two weeks to go, Microsoft needs to announce a specific launch month or date for this feature. Given their history of announcements, I'm skeptical that we'll see it in time.

40%
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95%
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47%
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80%
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96%
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79%
+6% last 24h
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