Will Apple’s CEO transition to John Ternus occur on schedule (September 1, 2026)?

61%
Stable · last 24h

49%
Stable · last 24h
YES if Clutch's finalized count of successfully fulfilled gift‑card redemptions in the Clutch shop is 5 or more during the full UTC calendar day starting at 00:00 UTC on August 26, 2026 and ending before 00:00 UTC on August 27, 2026. Count each successfully fulfilled claim once. Exclude attempted, duplicate, refunded, voided, or otherwise reversed redemptions. Resolution will use Clutch's finalized internal redemption records or an official export from Clutch's systems.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 26, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 27, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 49%, based on 319 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settled4 yesterday, look at the source
I've never seen more than 3, so I'm betting no.
With only 2 claims so far today and a recent daily average at the threshold, it's unlikely we'll see 5 by the end of the day. I'm betting NO on this one.

61%
Stable · last 24h

38%
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52%
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27%
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57%
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45%
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