Was the Pomas (Aude) tornado on August 24 F3/EF3 or stronger?

🤖 Context

YES if Keraunos (Observatoire français des orages et des tornades) publishes a public classification, final or provisional, assigning the tornado that struck Pomas (commune of Pomas, Aude) on 24 August 2026 an intensity of F3/EF3 or higher on the improved Fujita scale. If Keraunos publishes no classification by the resolution date, the market resolves YES only if at least two independent major French national news outlets explicitly report a Keraunos or other official meteorological authority classification of EF3 or higher for the Pomas tornado by the resolution date. Treat 'F' and 'EF' as equivalent. A provisional Keraunos rating counts. If Keraunos publishes a lower rating or states the event was not a tornado, the market resolves NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 10, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tf1info.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 77%, based on 160 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

77%

Predictions made

160

Credits staked

3,842

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 25, 2026

Closes

Aug 30, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 10, 2026

Resolution source

tf1info.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 30, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 10, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 77% and NO 23%, based on 160 predictions and 3.8K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tf1info.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Was the Pomas (Aude) tornado on August 24 F3/EF3 or stronger?” real-money betting?

No. “Was the Pomas (Aude) tornado on August 24 F3/EF3 or stronger?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.