Will Mercedes finish 1–2 at the Spanish Grand Prix in Madrid?

26%
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31%
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YES if Carlos Alcaraz is officially listed as one of the four men's singles semifinalists at the 2026 US Open, i.e., the tournament draw/results show he advanced from his quarterfinal match. A win by any on-court score, retirement, walkover, default, or any other official advancement into the semifinal counts as YES. If he is not officially advanced into the semifinal, or the event is voided with no semifinalists declared, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 10, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.co.uk. For now, the crowd puts YES at 31%, based on 3 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
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26%
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54%
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28%
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71%
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64%
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34%
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