Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open men's singles?

60%
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78%
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YES if the official results or draw for the 2026 US Open list Ben Shelton as one of the eight men's singles quarterfinalists by the market's resolution date. Advancement by match win, opponent retirement, opponent default, or walkover counts as advancement. Primary sources are the tournament's official results (US Open / United States Tennis Association) or ATP match records, and match reports from Reuters, AP, ESPN or L'Équipe that explicitly state Shelton is a quarterfinalist are also acceptable, and if multiple authoritative sources conflict the tournament's official draw takes precedence.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 5, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 6, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lequipe.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 78%, based on 43 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledBen Shelton has shown tremendous form this tournament. Given the current draw, I confidently expect him to make it to the quarterfinals today.

60%
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6%
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38%
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79%
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15%
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70%
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