Will the Worlds 2026 Play-In draw be published on October 10?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 27The market required that, as of 23:59 CEST on 26 September 2026, Rubén Torres be an active contestant on Supervivientes All Stars 3 (not officially eliminated, expelled, withdrawn, or permanently evacuated), with temporary medical removals and transfers within the show still counting as participation, and the outcome determined from Telecinco/Mediaset broadcasts and site updates corroborated by mainstream Spanish TV news. Multiple independent Spanish news outlets reported him actively participating on 25 and 26 September 2026, noting he served as a captain, won captain challenges and granted immunities, and none reported any elimination, expulsion, withdrawal or permanent medical evacuation before or on 26 September 2026, with the next eviction scheduled for 27 September 2026. Because those facts show he met the market’s definition of an active contestant at 23:59 CEST on 26 September 2026, the market resolves to yes.
How markets are built and settled46%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 54% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Multiple independent news outlets in the supplied evidence report Rubén Torres actively participating in Supervivientes All Stars 3 (serving as a captain, winning captain games and immunising contestants) as late as 25–26 September 2026, and none of the provided pages report him being eliminated, expelled, withdrawn or medically evacuated before or on 2026-09-26. The next eviction referenced in the sources was scheduled for 27 September 2026. Therefore, as of 23:59 CEST on 2026-09-26 Rubén Torres was still an active contestant under the market’s definition.
Source: formulatv.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledRubén's tenure in Supervivientes is still strong a week out. Given his current standing and the show's dynamic, he'd likely still be in competition by the deadline.

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