Will Google announce a new Pixel smartphone at its August 12, 2026 event?

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This market resolves YES if SpaceXAI publicly makes available a product explicitly named "Grok 4.6" or a direct successor variant (for example "Grok 4.75") no later than August 14, 2026 (Eastern Time). "Made available to the general public" means anyone can access it via a public product page, a public API, or a paid subscription anyone can sign up for, not via an invite-only beta, enterprise-only contract, or NDA. Products labeled as a new flagship generation (for example "Grok 5") do not qualify. Otherwise the market resolves NO. If multiple public announcements conflict, the earliest public announcement that meets these criteria determines the outcome, and availability later withdrawn still counts.
Sources used to create this market
With the current odds at 84%, it's highly likely Grok 4.6 will be released by the deadline. SpaceXAI's track record suggests they can deliver on the timeline.

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