Will Google announce a new Pixel smartphone at its August 12, 2026 event?

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YES if, no later than September 30, 2026, Apple and OpenAI either jointly and publicly announce they have reached a settlement that resolves the trade-secret complaint Apple filed in July 2026, or a publicly accessible court docket entry or joint stipulation/notice is filed in that same case stating the parties have settled and the claims against OpenAI have been dismissed. Resolution will be based on the relevant U.S. federal court docket and reporting from major news services such as Reuters or Bloomberg. If public filings or announcements explicitly show Apple’s claims remain pending, the market resolves NO.
Sources used to create this market
With two months left, Apple and OpenAI have plenty of time to settle. Given the stakes, I'd bet on a settlement before the deadline.

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