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TechOpened Jul 23 · Results Aug 6
Before Aug 6, 2026, will the word 'Moonshot' appear in an official U.S. Treasury sanctions listing?
58%
Stable · last 24h
📊 7 bettors💎 180 at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Aug 6🤖 Context
YES if the U.S. Department of the Treasury posts a press release or OFAC designation on treasury.gov on or before 5:00 PM ET on August 6, 2026 that names an entity whose Treasury-hosted text contains the string 'Moonshot' (case-insensitive) and states the entity is being designated, sanctioned, or otherwise subject to Treasury/OFAC restrictions. Only documents published on the official Treasury site (treasury.gov or OFAC pages under the Treasury domain) count. If Treasury sanctions an entity but the Treasury text contains no 'Moonshot' string, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No58%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 58% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Review of Treasury/OFAC’s official indices through August 6, 2026 shows no sanctions press release or OFAC designation whose text would plausibly include the string “Moonshot.” On August 6, OFAC’s only action was Cuba‑related, and OFAC’s sanctions press release index for that day links to a Cuba-focused announcement. Treasury’s general press releases around the date also contain no sanctions item mentioning Moonshot. Media reporting in late July described threats of possible sanctions, not executed designations, consistent with the absence of any qualifying Treasury/OFAC item by the 5:00 PM ET deadline.
Source: ofac.treasury.govKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 58%
- Predictions made
- 7
- Credits staked
- 180
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Jul 23, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 6, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 7, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- ofac.treasury.gov, home.treasury.gov
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 27 💎
oh for sure, 'moonshot' is bound to pop up in some tweaked treasury document. sounds like a trendy term that the treasury would totally use. 🌙
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