A galera estava 63% confiante, e errou.
63%
Probabilidade final
Por quê: Extracted condition: Bad Bunny has artist-level Global daily views on YouTube > 29,500,000 on any day during the window 2026-09-28 through 2026-10-04 (inclusive). Target window: 2026-09-28 to 2026-10-04. Observations used (from supplied data): Kalshi ticker KXYTVIEWSW-BAD26OCT04-29.5M — 'Official status: finalized' and 'Official finalized result: NO'. Per the market's rule text this Kalshi official finalized result is the authoritative settlement for the mirrored contract. Kalshi reports NO, which means there was not any day during 2026-09-28 through 2026-10-04 on which Bad Bunny exceeded 29.5M global daily views. Comparison: condition required at least one day >29.5M; official result is NO (condition not met). Therefore outcome: NO.
Fonte: kalshi.comResolvido em 6 de out.