
A galera estava 69% confiante, e acertou.
31%
Probabilidade final
Por quê: Extracted condition: total Elon Musk (@elonmusk) main-feed posts on X from 2026-08-29 12:00:00 PM ET through 2026-08-31 12:00:00 PM ET inclusive is strictly fewer than 40 (YES if <40, otherwise NO). Target window: 2026-08-29 12:00 PM ET → 2026-08-31 12:00 PM ET inclusive. Observed evidence (supplied): the mirrored Polymarket market “Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?” is resolved with outcome prices Yes=0, No=1 (official resolution = NO). The related bucket market “40-64 tweets” resolved Yes=1, No=0, indicating the counted total fell in the 40–64 range. Comparison: the mirrored Polymarket official resolution indicates the post count was not <40, so this market resolves NO.
Fonte: clutch.vipResolvido em 2 de set.


















