
A galera estava 61% confiante, e errou.
61%
Probabilidade final
Resolvido em 1 de ago.
Como os mercados resolvidos nesse dia terminaram: as probabilidades, o veredito e o que a galera acertou ou errou.

A galera estava 61% confiante, e errou.
61%
Probabilidade final
Resolvido em 1 de ago.

A galera estava 58% confiante, e acertou.
42%
Probabilidade final
Por quê: Multiple independent, credible sources and the Senate’s own session record in the supplied evidence show the Senate rejected the proposed 'aide à mourir' law (motions to oppose were adopted; reports give a Senate vote to reject the text, e.g. Le Figaro’s 2026-07-07 report and Crux/BBC coverage of a third rejection). The National Assembly — not the Senate — gave final approval on 2026-07-15. No supplied source reports the Senate formally adopting the bill in its entirety by 2026-07-31.
Fonte: lefigaro.frResolvido em 1 de ago.

A galera estava 76% confiante, e errou.
76%
Probabilidade final
Resolvido em 1 de ago.

13%
Probabilidade final
Resolvido em 1 de ago.

A galera estava 61% confiante, e errou.
61%
Probabilidade final
Resolvido em 1 de ago.

A galera estava 70% confiante, e acertou.
70%
Probabilidade final
Resolvido em 1 de ago.

A galera estava 60% confiante, e errou.
60%
Probabilidade final
Resolvido em 1 de ago.

A galera estava 83% confiante, e errou.
83%
Probabilidade final
Resolvido em 1 de ago.

62%
Probabilidade final
Resolvido em 1 de ago.

A galera estava 76% confiante, e acertou.
24%
Probabilidade final
Resolvido em 1 de ago.

A galera estava 55% confiante, e errou.
55%
Probabilidade final
Resolvido em 1 de ago.

A galera estava 63% confiante, e acertou.
63%
Probabilidade final
Resolvido em 1 de ago.

A galera estava 69% confiante, e acertou.
69%
Probabilidade final
Por quê: The supplied 20minutos 'Gente' article pages show multiple distinct article URLs whose headlines contain the string "Kiko Rivera" and were published before the 2026-08-01 cutoff. Examples from the evidence: - https://www.20minutos.es/gente/kiko-rivera-recibe-alta-tras-sufrir-un-ictus-revela-problemas-su-parte-izquierda-gracias-mama-por-cuidar-tus-nietos_7019357_0.html (published 2026-07-27), - https://www.20minutos.es/gente/kiko-rivera-actualiza-su-estado-salud-me-encuentro-maravilla-estoy-avanzando-mejor-que-esperaba_7020405_0.html (published 2026-07-29), - https://www.20minutos.es/gente/kiko-rivera-dispuesto-llevar-los-tribunales-jessica-bueno-irene-rosales_7020472_0.html (published 2026-07-30), - https://www.20minutos.es/gente/kiko-rivera-ingresado-hospital-por-un-grave-problema-salud-no-contesta-las-llamadas-ni-los-mensajes_7017950_0.html (published 2026-07-23), - https://www.20minutos.es/gente/kiko-rivera-comunica-que-ha-vuelto-sufrir-un-ictus-mas-fuerte-han-quedado-algunas-pequenas-secuelas_7018062_0.html (published 2026-07-23). Each is a separate /gente/ article URL on 20minutos with the headline text including "Kiko Rivera", so the condition is met.
Fonte: 20minutos.esResolvido em 1 de ago.

A galera estava 81% confiante, e acertou.
81%
Probabilidade final
Por quê: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived total cumulative train delay for the local calendar day ending Saturday 2026-08-01 must be >= 121.0 hours. Target day/window: local calendar day ending 2026-08-01. Observed value (Clutch finalized archived total): 132.9 cumulative delay hours (across 508 trains), finalized by Clutch at 2026-08-01 22:01 UTC, covering the local calendar day ending 2026-08-01 21:59 UTC. Comparison: 132.9 >= 121.0, so the condition is met. Outcome: YES.
Fonte: clutch.vipResolvido em 1 de ago.

A galera estava 59% confiante, e acertou.
41%
Probabilidade final
Por quê: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending 2026-08-01 must be >= 101.00 cumulative delay hours (no rounding). Observed data (Clutch finalized): 93.3 cumulative delay hours since local midnight across 358 trains, counting each train once with its latest reported delay when >=5 minutes late. Observation timestamps in the data: 'Daily total finalized by Clutch: 2026-08-01 22:00 UTC' and 'covers the local calendar day ending at 2026-08-01 21:59 UTC', which matches the market target day. Comparison: 93.3 < 101, so the market resolves NO.
Fonte: clutch.vipResolvido em 1 de ago.

A galera estava 61% confiante, e acertou.
39%
Probabilidade final
Por quê: None of the supplied evidence contains the complete signed agreement text as a downloadable PDF or as HTML. The U.S. Department of Energy press release (2026-07-22) announces the 123 agreement was signed and says the agreement “will now be transmitted to Congress for review,” not that the full signed text was posted publicly. Independent reporting in the supplied pool explicitly states the text had not been released (BBC, 2026-07-23: “Text from the deal has not been made public”; Carnegie Emissary Q&A, 2026-07-23: “the administration has not yet released the full text”). The Federal Register entry (Presidential Determination published 2026-07-28) is present in the evidence but is a Presidential Determination document and does not provide the full signed agreement text in the supplied content. No source in the provided evidence shows a downloadable PDF or HTML of the complete signed agreement in English or Arabic by the deadline. Based on the supplied documents, the complete signed text was not publicly available by 5:00 PM ET on 2026-08-01.
Fonte: energy.govResolvido em 1 de ago.

39%
Probabilidade final
Resolvido em 1 de ago.

A galera estava 55% confiante, e acertou.
55%
Probabilidade final
Resolvido em 1 de ago.

A galera estava 67% confiante, e acertou.
67%
Probabilidade final
Resolvido em 1 de ago.

A galera estava 79% confiante, e acertou.
21%
Probabilidade final
Resolvido em 1 de ago.
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